Strike while the iron is hot
BACKGROUND
The past month has seen extremes in volatility - one-month implied volatility across the majors has hit the mid-teens amid the credit crunch, counterparty risk and general illiquid market conditions after being around the 8% mark in August. This has seen some large swings in spot rates allied to the ebb and flow of financial rumours and events, with data taking something of a back-seat role. Wide ranges and extreme moves create a nightmare scenario for foreign exchange predictions.
At
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